4.12.13

Years that Question

     The history of man normally has various centers of power. Rarely are those centers tangled into one place. America, the superpower, is projected to be replaced by China at the economic pinnacle by 2016. The Christian missionary title of the world already belongs to South Korea so the United States has lost that too. As a military might, the young nation still holds up the mark for now.
     With the widespread protests, civil wars, and increasing wealth of the Middle East, the population explosion in Africa, and the increasing economic might of SE Asian nations like the Philippines, India and Indonesia, the focal point of global power is already changing, but will the landscape change as a whole or only within the upper classes? European imperialism shredded the last African-based empires a century and a half ago, and the Ottoman Empire's fall after World War I ended the last prominent Middle Eastern empire.
     Will economic development in previously termed "third world" countries finally sling-shot forward? If a non-Western country becomes a superpower, will the change in power be beneficial to their economic development and social stability or will the effort of rising up empty the coffers? Alternatively, will the newly found power refocus attention on the new pole and cause further development?
     Much of the twentieth century focused on the mutual destruction of Europe's powers. With this new century other nations are stepping on the springboards of global domination, but will they learn the lessons of their predecessors or only seek accumulation and domination?
     As with all new things, elements of excitement and fear merge indistinguishably. Population dynamics of a growing world are prying power from the elderly Western nations. What will become of the old powers - looted, restored, or stabilized? Will a multi-polar world destroy or encourage trade?
     Let's find out.


  __    
Agatha Tyche

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